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Rent vs Salary | What South Africans can afford to spend on accommodation




Courtesy of Property 24  article of 29 October 2020. 


The residential rental market will remain under pressure and high vacancies will be the new norm, until South Africa sees a dramatic shift in job recovery and creation. 
 
TPN Rental Data for Q3 highlights the hardest-hit sectors with soaring vacancies are the properties at the low-end, rentals <R3,000 pm, with 17% of properties recorded as vacant; as well as the luxury property markets, as rentals >R25,000 pm contracted by fifty percent from 1.8% market share to 0.9% q-o-q spurred on by a 23% vacancy rate.

See graphs 1 & 2 below


The affordable market has shown the most resilience, as downscaling becomes a stark reality for many households - this as COVID-19 lockdown caused a massive disruption to South Africa’s average take-home pay, as seen in  BankservAfrica Take-home Pay Index (BTPI) for August 2020. Their data shows numerous salary payments were either suspended, terminated or adjusted. 


The average take-home pay 


 The average take-home pay in August was R14 008 in nominal terms and R11 893 in real terms. While real take-home pay increased by a monthly 1.7%, this is due to the very low base in August 2019 and the recent changes in the make-up of the workforce as the lockdown level moved to level 2 with more of South Africa’s economic sectors re-opening.
 
With many firms paying pension contributions into pension funds again while other private sector employees have had salary reductions to help firms survive, the salary trend is more likely to remain slightly negative in real terms (and perhaps even in nominal terms as casual workers return to employment, bringing the average down slightly).  


Daily / Casual payment earners hardest hit


The index shows the category hardest hit with loss of earnings were individuals in the Daily / Casual payment earners (-35.2%) and weekly wage earners (-17.1%).

This has intern had the biggest impact on the low-end of the rental market. Interestingly, this segment showed increasing market strength as the demand for < R3,000 increased. Sadly for these tenants, only 63% are in good standing with their rent which means high risk applications and more tenants not qualifying.

No sector of the rental market was left unscathed with double digit vacancies across the board, according to TPN. Although affordable properties in the R4,500 to R7,000 and R7,000 to R12,000 range with 10.31% and 10.34% vacancies respectively the least impacted. 


Most affordable cities for South Africans to rent property?


It appears that the cost of accommodation in the country’s major cities is still on the rise. In May 2019, Adzuna, an online job aggregator, established that South Africans were spending roughly 28% of their salaries on rent. This year, after comparing average rental prices and wages of more than 100 000 online job listings, they were able to point out areas where it would be most cost-effective for South Africans to live and work.

See graph 3 below


"A comparison was drawn between the average salary and the average property value in each of the country’s main city centres. The findings were indicative of the fact that most households spend anything between 16% and 27% of their monthly income on rent.

According to Adzuna analysis of income and rental prices in 10 of the country’s major cities, "the most affordable cities to rent in came out as Bloemfontein, Polokwane, Rustenburg, Nelspruit, and Pretoria."

"With more and more remote jobs in South Africa, where you stay is less and less connected to where you work. Even though salaries in Cape Town are higher, renters in the Western Cape fork out as much as 27% of their wages on rent every month."

On the opposite end of the scale, Cape Town is still the most expensive city for renting a property in the country, unchanged since May 2019. Capetonians spend an average of 27% of their salaries on rent every month if they choose to live just outside the city centre. Rental costs within the city’s centre are even more expensive and can easily demand up to 35% of a renter’s monthly earnings. 

TPN data shows that there is an excess supply across South Africa's rental market, with the most affect areas being Gauteng and Western Cape. 

See graph 4 below



Courtesy of Property 24  article of 29 October 2020 
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